I feel like there needs to be a Race Strategy category for this question, but I’ll drop it here to see what kind of responses it generates.
What have others used (or would propose) for a pacing recommendation for athletes preparing for ultra-endurance events, with a podium goal in mind? To put real context around this, specifically 12 hour time trials in the World Ultra Cycling environment. These are generally flat(ish) courses held in low-altitude environments (US locations include California, Florida, Texas, etc.)
In looking at prior race profiles, it seems like podium athletes go out quite fast and experience a considerable drop off in power, pace, and increase in HR (for the power output) over the course of the race. However, I wonder if the furthest aggregate distance / fastest finish time would be realized by an even pacing strategy where the athlete uses a constraint target power or HR to moderate effort at the beginning with a goal to sustain that power/HR/pace over the entire race?
So, synopsis few questions:
- Pace recommendation - go out hard and accept the fade in pace OR target 12 hour sustainable metric?
- What metric to target - power (input) or HR (physiological response)? Have an athlete target a certain power number and be at risk of HR drifting to a point of unsustainability later on OR target a certain max HR and accept whatever power can be generated at that HR over 12 hours?
Thanks for your thoughts!